AIHL Projections 29th Aug
AIHL Betting Dashboard
Generated 2026-08-25 20:28 · edge = model% − market-implied% · 100,000 negative-binomial sims/game
Top value bets · edge > +3%
| Game | Market | Bet | Odds | Implied | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Ice Dogs @ Perth Thunder | Moneyline | Perth Thunder | +150 | 40.0% | 57.6% | +17.6% |
| Sydney Ice Dogs @ Perth Thunder | Total | Over 7.5 | -133 | 57.1% | 69.1% | +12.0% |
Sydney Bears @ Canberra Brave3:00 PM AEST
Projected xG · Canberra Brave 5.13 · Sydney Bears 3.49 · total 8.62
Moneyline
| Team | Odds | Implied | Model | Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canberra Brave | -222 | 68.9% | 68.6% | -219 | -0.3% |
| Sydney Bears | +160 | 38.5% | 31.4% | +219 | -7.1% |
Total goals · line 8.5
| Bet | Odds | Implied | Model | Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 | -118 | 54.1% | 49.3% | +103 | -4.9% |
| Under 8.5 | -118 | 54.1% | 50.7% | -103 | -3.4% |
Projected total goals
Green = Over wins · red = Under wins
Sydney Ice Dogs @ Perth Thunder7:00 PM AEST
Projected xG · Perth Thunder 4.87 · Sydney Ice Dogs 4.21 · total 9.08
Moneyline
| Team | Odds | Implied | Model | Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Thunder | +150 | 40.0% | 57.6% | -136 | +17.6% |
| Sydney Ice Dogs | -200 | 66.7% | 42.4% | +136 | -24.2% |
Total goals · line 7.5
| Bet | Odds | Implied | Model | Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 | -133 | 57.1% | 69.1% | -224 | +12.0% |
| Under 7.5 | -105 | 51.2% | 30.9% | +224 | -20.3% |
Projected total goals
Green = Over wins · red = Under wins
Odds American; probabilities as percentages. Green = edge > +3%, red = negative edge. Model output only — not betting advice.