AIHL July 18th update - Ice vs Bears
AIHL Betting Dashboard
Generated 2026-07-17 13:26 · edge = model% − market-implied% · 100,000 Poisson sims/game
Top value bets · edge > +3%
| Game | Market | Bet | Odds | Implied | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bears @ Melbourne Ice | Total | Under 9.5 | -118 | 54.1% | 61.3% | +7.2% |
Sydney Bears @ Melbourne Ice5:00 PM AEST
Projected xG · Melbourne Ice 4.64 · Sydney Bears 4.19 · total 8.82
Moneyline
| Team | Odds | Implied | Model | Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Ice | -192 | 65.8% | 56.0% | -127 | -9.8% |
| Sydney Bears | +140 | 41.7% | 44.0% | +127 | +2.3% |
Total goals · line 9.5
| Bet | Odds | Implied | Model | Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 | -118 | 54.1% | 38.7% | +158 | -15.4% |
| Under 9.5 | -118 | 54.1% | 61.3% | -158 | +7.2% |
Odds American; probabilities as percentages. Green = edge > +3%, red = negative edge. Model output only — not betting advice.