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# AIHL Projections 29th Aug
- URL: https://thepuckline.com/aihl-projections-29th-aug/
- Published: 2026-08-25T19:33:13.000Z
- Updated: 2026-08-25T19:33:13.000Z
- Author: Josh Boulton

# AIHL Betting Dashboard

Generated 2026-08-25 20:28 · edge = model% − market-implied% · 100,000 negative-binomial sims/game

## Top value bets · edge > +3%

| Game                            | Market    | Bet           | Odds  | Implied | Model | Edge   |
| ------------------------------- | --------- | ------------- | ----- | ------- | ----- | ------ |
| Sydney Ice Dogs @ Perth Thunder | Moneyline | Perth Thunder | +150  | 40.0%   | 57.6% | +17.6% |
| Sydney Ice Dogs @ Perth Thunder | Total     | Over 7.5      | \-133 | 57.1%   | 69.1% | +12.0% |

Sydney Bears @ Canberra Brave3:00 PM AEST

Projected xG · Canberra Brave 5.13 · Sydney Bears 3.49 · total 8.62

Moneyline

| Team           | Odds  | Implied | Model | Fair  | Edge   |
| -------------- | ----- | ------- | ----- | ----- | ------ |
| Canberra Brave | \-222 | 68.9%   | 68.6% | \-219 | \-0.3% |
| Sydney Bears   | +160  | 38.5%   | 31.4% | +219  | \-7.1% |

Total goals · line 8.5

| Bet       | Odds  | Implied | Model | Fair  | Edge   |
| --------- | ----- | ------- | ----- | ----- | ------ |
| Over 8.5  | \-118 | 54.1%   | 49.3% | +103  | \-4.9% |
| Under 8.5 | \-118 | 54.1%   | 50.7% | \-103 | \-3.4% |

Projected total goals

2 goals: 0.7%3 goals: 1.8%4 goals: 3.9%5 goals: 7.1%6 goals: 10.4%7 goals: 13.0%8 goals: 13.9%9 goals: 13.3%10 goals: 11.4%11 goals: 8.9%12 goals: 6.2%13 goals: 4.1%14 goals: 2.5%15 goals: 1.4%16 goals: 0.7%17 goals: 0.7%8.524681012141614%

Green = Over wins · red = Under wins

Sydney Ice Dogs @ Perth Thunder7:00 PM AEST

Projected xG · Perth Thunder 4.87 · Sydney Ice Dogs 4.21 · total 9.08

Moneyline

| Team            | Odds  | Implied | Model | Fair  | Edge    |
| --------------- | ----- | ------- | ----- | ----- | ------- |
| Perth Thunder   | +150  | 40.0%   | 57.6% | \-136 | +17.6%  |
| Sydney Ice Dogs | \-200 | 66.7%   | 42.4% | +136  | \-24.2% |

Total goals · line 7.5

| Bet       | Odds  | Implied | Model | Fair  | Edge    |
| --------- | ----- | ------- | ----- | ----- | ------- |
| Over 7.5  | \-133 | 57.1%   | 69.1% | \-224 | +12.0%  |
| Under 7.5 | \-105 | 51.2%   | 30.9% | +224  | \-20.3% |

Projected total goals

3 goals: 1.7%4 goals: 3.0%5 goals: 5.7%6 goals: 8.9%7 goals: 11.6%8 goals: 13.6%9 goals: 13.5%10 goals: 12.2%11 goals: 9.9%12 goals: 7.4%13 goals: 5.2%14 goals: 3.3%15 goals: 1.9%16 goals: 1.1%17 goals: 0.6%18 goals: 0.5%7.535791113151714%

Green = Over wins · red = Under wins

Odds American; probabilities as percentages. Green = edge > +3%, red = negative edge. Model output only — not betting advice.