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# AIHL July 18th update - Ice vs Bears
- URL: https://thepuckline.com/aihl-jult-18th-update-ice-vs-bears/
- Published: 2026-07-17T12:28:03.000Z
- Updated: 2026-07-17T16:11:18.000Z
- Author: Josh Boulton

# AIHL Betting Dashboard

Generated 2026-07-17 13:26 · edge = model% − market-implied% · 100,000 Poisson sims/game

## Top value bets · edge > +3%

| Game                         | Market | Bet       | Odds  | Implied | Model | Edge  |
| ---------------------------- | ------ | --------- | ----- | ------- | ----- | ----- |
| Sydney Bears @ Melbourne Ice | Total  | Under 9.5 | \-118 | 54.1%   | 61.3% | +7.2% |

Sydney Bears @ Melbourne Ice5:00 PM AEST

Projected xG · Melbourne Ice 4.64 · Sydney Bears 4.19 · total 8.82

Moneyline

| Team          | Odds  | Implied | Model | Fair  | Edge   |
| ------------- | ----- | ------- | ----- | ----- | ------ |
| Melbourne Ice | \-192 | 65.8%   | 56.0% | \-127 | \-9.8% |
| Sydney Bears  | +140  | 41.7%   | 44.0% | +127  | +2.3%  |

Total goals · line 9.5

| Bet       | Odds  | Implied | Model | Fair  | Edge    |
| --------- | ----- | ------- | ----- | ----- | ------- |
| Over 9.5  | \-118 | 54.1%   | 38.7% | +158  | \-15.4% |
| Under 9.5 | \-118 | 54.1%   | 61.3% | \-158 | +7.2%   |

Odds American; probabilities as percentages. Green = edge > +3%, red = negative edge. Model output only — not betting advice.